Nothing can reflect the closeness of the game between G2 Esports and Rogue like our prediction model here:
The Baron Steal at minute 27:14 made G2 take the upper hand up until they took down the Nexus. Let’s break down how it all happened:
has been in the LEC since the Spring Split of 2019 and between 2019 and 2021, G2
and Rogue had faced 10 times in the Regular Season with an impressive 10-0 record for G2. Yesterday, they made it 11-0.
Rogue’s playstyle is pretty much clear. They tend to draft winning lanes and they are one of the strongest LEC teams in the early game. Rogue plays through bot and use their macro to funnel as much gold as possible into Hans sama’s
hands to snowball the game.
Rogue doesn’t need to take extra risks or be overaggressive, they just stick to their plan and in the blink of an eye, they create huge gold differences. They, unsurprisingly, lead the league in Gold Difference at minute 15 averaging 2754 in the first five games played so far.
As we said, G2 has been their nemesis in the Regular Season. They know Rogue are better when they follow their plan, so against Rogue they create chaos. And that’s exactly what happened on Sunday.
In the first 11 minutes of the game, there were 11 kills. All of them happened in the bot lane and all of them can be explained by what happened in the draft.
Right after Gwen, Thresh
is the champion with the most pick and ban rate in the LEC with 92%. He’s usually banned by the blue side team, has been neither picked nor banned twice, and was picked just two times, both this Sunday and one was in this game.
There was a reason for it. After first picking Varus on the red side, G2 could lean towards Tahm Kench or Thresh as support priorities given the lack of mobility of the AD carry.
Even after skipping one of the bans because they ran out of time, Rogue left Thresh open and G2 did not hesitate in picking the champion.
Rogue had an answer in an unusual support: Blitzcrank. The reason is simple, Blitzcrank is good into Thresh since his hook is more reliable and he has a good combo with the ADC that Rogue picked on B3, Kalista.
Blitzcrank’s ‘Rocket Grab’ (Q) drags an enemy into him and Kalista’s ‘Fate Call’ (R) pulls him even further. You can watch some examples here
On Sunday, the game turned into a bloodbath and most of the ‘Fate Calls’ were used defensively. Still, the knock up from the ultimate plus Blitzcrank’s hook form a pretty deadly chain CC:
Blitzcrank is more of an all-or-nothing champion relying almost exclusively on his hook. On the other side, Thresh has a broader kit of abilities. He provides more CC and mobility and apart from his ‘Death Sentence’ (Q), his ‘Dark Passage’ (W) allows his allies to join a fight as we can see here how a hook + lantern enables a perfect gank for Jankos
With Thresh and Blitzcrank picked, a hectic battle was set to happen on the bot lane. And it happened indeed.
The bot lane
The early game was completely around the bot lane. At minute 11, we had 11 combined kills in the game, and they all occurred on the bot side. All 10 players were there at some point during the early game. Even the broadcast could not follow all the action:
G2 marksman, Rekkles
, is the current MVP and arguably one of the best players of the Summer Split in these two weeks. If Rekkles is the most valuable player, Hans sama could very well be the second one with great performances, especially on Kalista and Varus.
Getting their ADC ahead was one of the main win-conditions for both teams and Rogue’s bot lane started with two kills in the 2v2 bot.
on Rumble played a major role in closing the gap, ganking the bot lane 6 times in the first 12 minutes.
Despite all the bot lane focus, both AD carries were tied in gold at minute 15, so the game would be decided in the late game.
Minute 26 into the game and the map was vertically split. Rogue had full control of the top side and G2 had so on the bot side.
It was dangerous for G2 to facecheck the Baron without vision against a composition with Blitzcrank hook and Fiddlesticks and Kennen ultimates.
At minute 26, Mikyx
on Thresh tries to blindly land a hook but instead, he’s the one who ends up hooked by Trymbi
on Blitzcrank and Rogue comes up successful after a 3x1 skirmish:
Rogue decides to go for the Nashor since Jankos
on Rumble and Rekkles
on Varus were the only G2 members alive.
The bad part for them is that they were the ones with the most range in G2 thanks to Varus’ ‘Piercing Arrow’ (Q) and Rumble’s ‘Equalizer’ (R). Both abilities with the timely help from the Nashor lifting Inspired
on Fiddlesticks up, helped them one-shot the jungler and steal the Baron Nashor without even using the smite.
After a brilliant defense, Rogue would manage to hold on and buy 5 more minutes, when another Nashor and the dragon soul for G2 would spawn.
Rogue would opt to give up the infernal dragon soul and commit all 5 members to the Nashor. G2 would move 4 members there while Wunder
on Viego solo killed the drake with teleport available.
Before Viego could join the fray, Odoamne
on Kennen found the perfect flank to flash and use his ‘Slicing Maelstrom’ (R) into both G2 carries, Rekkles
on Varus and Caps
on Orianna, stunning them with Kennen’s passive, ‘Mark of the Storm’.
It looked like an easy Nashor for Rogue with the numbers advantage, but it’s time for the last chapter of this article.
on Viego teleported in after the Kennen pick on Varus and Orianna. It was a 3v5 in favor of Rogue but that was not a problem for Viego.
He starts killing a low HP Blitzcrank with E+W+Q and uses Viego’s passive, ‘Sovereign’s Domination’ to take control of Blitzcrank. He landed a possibly perfectly predicted hook + E into Hans sama
on Kalista, uses his R and goes for another reset possessing Kalista, misses her Q, Kennen tries to buy time with the stopwatch but another ultimate would come as the stopwatch expired, executing Kennen and getting yet another reset.
He chases Larssen
on Jayce with auto attacks, misses Kennen Q but lands the ultimate and finishes him off with, finally, the real Viego ultimate.
Watch the full sequence:
Viego managed to deal 5000 damage, get 3 kills, an assist, the dragon soul, and the Baron in an ideal situation for the champion. Arriving a bit later to a fight with low HP enemies is perfect for Viego as he can get multiple resets to use his ‘Heartbreaker’ (R) as many times as possible.
Since their arrival, Viego and Gwen are high priority champions with 72% and 100% pick/ban rate respectively in the LEC.
G2 beat Rogue once again in the Regular Season and leads the LEC along with Misfits
However, it looks like that version of G2 that dominated the game by being constantly ahead in tempo and not giving the opposite team any time to breathe is gone.